Midway Checkup on the Market and Where we are to Begin the Second Half of 2022
Tomorrow ends the second quarter of 2022 and begins the second half of the year as we go into another holiday weekend. In tonight's special update, we take a larger view of where markets are trading at the middle of 2022 and what's surprising about that picture. Finally, we pinpoint which stocks continue weakening to…
Don Kaufman Sees a Bright Side to the Bitcoin Rout in This CoinDesk TV Interview
TheoTrade co-founder Don Kaufman shares his Bitcoin price analysis, noting that despite a decline in trading volume amid the bear market there’s "a bright side of the bearishness." Don also discusses DeFi regulation and MicroStrategy’s recent $10 million BTC purchase. Today, Bitcoin is hovering at the $19,000 level. Don wouldn’t be surprised to see Bitcoin…
Are We Headed for New Lows?
While S&P's are massively unchanged today, other threats linger in the sidelines. The real standout is not the NASDAQ itself, but the many freakish 1-minute moves inside of the futures market that have decimated many traders' day today. Listen to today's video to find out more...
Selling Continues - Which Stocks are Leading the Market Lower Now
Stocks reversed lower to continue their downtrend and weakness with the tech-heavy NASDAQ losing 3% by the close today. What key economic events are in play for the week ahead and which specific stock led the market with new lows today? And where is Oil and Bonds headed? Find out your new targets in tonight's…
Energy Leads as the Market Enters Seasonally Strong 10-Day Period
Over the past 20 years, June 29 has kicked off the best 10 trading day performance period with a median return of 2.15%. That's all fine, but how does seasonality stack up to a bear market? In other news, SEC Chair Gensler labels BTC a commodity and HOOD finds a potential suitor as Don Kaufman predicted…
Jeff Bierman Interview Predicts Bear Market - Money Life Podcast June 24, 2022
Professor Jeff Bierman, CMT, had a lively interview with the "Money Life with Chuck Jaffe" podcast. The two discussed some interesting anomalies in today's markets, including likely continued drops in the S&P over the next few weeks and months. This bear market could lead to many interesting opportunities for investors, possibly creating some millionaires…
Are Outsized Market Moves Indicating the Big One is Coming?
--Outsized moves in SP500 --4 out 5 weeks have seen 2 sigma moves --has we seen this before? --SKEW and VVIX compound the situation --monitoring bond markets and dollar closely SPX Expected Move -- --last week -- 120.79 (expected move) --next week-- 112.64 (expected move)
Oil Falls, Bonds Rally, Stocks Mixed, and More for your Thursday Evening Update
Markets are moving this week including a steeper fall in Commodity/Oil prices and a rally in both the Bond Market and - generally - equities. In tonight's video we pinpoint our expectations going into next week, what price targets are in play, and which stocks remain on the leading edge of the sell-side activity...
Option Bears Reloading as Bulls Feeling Spry
The bulls appear to be feeling like they've accomplished something as the market looks to be positive two days in a row. However, as the bulls have their moment, the bears are adding bearish options positions and rolling up into the strength. Let's look at some key ETFs that had unusual bearish options activity (XLB,…
Bring Back the Bear?
Is this small rally in the SPX sustainable, or are we about to enter a full-on bear market? Volume in the S&Ps included several days and was not very high. Week in and week out, the expected move is not rocking to the upside, pointing highly to a longer term bear market...