When Good Market News Goes Bad
—volatility starved animals beware —economic data challenges rate cut logic —bonds are fading —FED speak is going to get dangerous —AAPL slippage —lack of correlation is disconcerting SPX Expected Move -- --last week -- 51.73 (4-day expected move) --next week-- 60.67 (5-day expected move)
Why Tomorrow's NonFarm Payroll Will Matter
In today's video we dive into jobs data looking the number of people employed, unemployed and with multiple jobs. We discuss jobs data as an indication of future monetary policy from the Fed. We also look at TSLA, BYD, COST, WMT and the homebuilders for potential trade setups.
3 Impact Trades to Kick off 2023
With the market falling from highs, how are stock prices shaping up to begin 2024? Let's look at three plays that should benefit by the market outlook in the coming months. (FXI, JETS, GLD, IYR, XLE, XOM)
Did Santa Claus Claus Leave Town a Day Early?
With the exception of the Dow, stocks are down hard to begin the new calendar year. We're seeing nice strength stem from the healthcare sector, which is being driven by a breakout to new all-time highs by Amgen (AMGN). Both Bitcoin and Ethereum made new highs too, but was that confirmation of the bull trend,…
Is 2024 Ripe for Market Mayhem?
—quiet week ends with a hint of volatility —market prognostications for 2024 from roses to apocalyptic —Market priced to FED perfection? —Bonds, Dollar, Bitcoin, Metals SPX Expected Move -- --last week -- 55.87 (4-day expected move) --next week-- 52.73 (4-day expected move)
Ringing In the New Year and Wringing Out The Volatility
In today's video we look at the low volume, low volatility at the end of the calendar year. We discuss the very low cost of options and for potential directional trades into the new year. We also analyzed the market and determined the retail traders were active while institutions were likely already done for the…
Your Stock Update as we End 2023: Reflections on the Year
With the final trading week of 2023, let's take a brief moment to look back on the year and highlight the key sectors, stock indexes, and insights from commodities, bonds, yields, inflation, and the big picture as we keep our motivation high to start a brand new 2024.
Can Santa Claus Deliver for Stocks into Year-End?
As we come to the final trading days of 2023, markets are finally in the renowned Santa Claus Rally period as bulls look to leave their mark on another year. In this video, we talk about our trade in Coinbase (COIN) as well as other bullish signals brewing under the surface in the overall market.
Is the Grinch Coming for your Portfolio?
—risk management out the window —economic slowdown and forecasts (NKE, FDX) —rate cut projections appear ridiculous —two sided trading returns —options markets starting to price risk SPX Expected Move -- --last week -- 55.44 (5-day expected move) --next week-- 57.87 (4-day expected move)
Is the Correlation Between Energy and Utilities Broken?
In today's video, we look at the expected correlation with energy prices and utilities performance. We look at the stronger correlation between utilities and inflation and inverse correlation between interest rates and utilities.