Tuesday, September 9, 2025 - Tony's Pre-Market Playbook
Range-Bound and Waiting on CPIby Tony Rago Overnight was dead quiet — still sitting inside Friday’s big hourly reversal bar. Nothing’s changed: the plan is to trade the range until we break out of it, either through the highs or the lows. The tape feels like it’s stalling ahead of CPI, so we may…
CPI Week: Why Gold & Bonds Face a Brutal Reality Check
Boy, what's about to happen in the market? I mean, is the CPI that comes out this Thursday about to derail the two biggest bullish trades in the market currently? Here's the thing... everyone's piling into gold and bonds right now. Gold's outperforming every sector. TLT's breaking out. The dollar's weakening 1% against gold while…
Monday, September 8, 2025 - TheoLIVE Market Masters
Fresh off a weekend of Bills wins and Cubs daydreams, the market opened with a mix of optimism and caution. Momentum is still flashing green, but under the surface, the setup is stretched. Rate-cut bets are running hot, liquidity is thick, and traders are already positioning for what comes next. That’s when you’ve…
Why Your Money Manager Threw Out the Playbook
The market hit new highs today. Your portfolio probably looks great. Your money manager is patting himself on the back. Now fire him. Look, we're not trading the S&P 500 anymore. We're trading the S&P 10. Money managers have thrown out the entire playbook. No research...No fundamentals…No rotations…Nothing. They're just buying mega-cap trillion-dollar companies and…
Tale of the Tape: Can the Bulls Get Any Louder?
Have you noticed how stocks are at all-time highs while there's a never-ending laundry list of reasons to think why we're about to crash? There's a reason why the saying, "A bull market climbs a wall of worry," exists. I'm one of those traders that think the market knows best. And so when it talks,…
Monday, September 8, 2025 - Tony's Pre-Market Playbook
Trading Inside the Big Reversalby Tony Rago New week, new chances to make money. Price is still stuck inside Friday’s big reversal bar off the all-time highs, so the playbook is simple: trade the range inside it — or jump on the breakout/breakdown when it comes. We’ve got econ lined up later this week…
The Dragon Awakens
Let me tell you why everyone else is wrong about China… Rate cuts and a weaker dollar are making international stocks competitive again. No other large country has a tech landscape that can compare to the U.S. except China. They have more power to drive consumers into electric vehicles than we do. That combination creates…
Three Life Lessons from Monty Python and the Holy Grail
The past two weeks have been heavy, so I thought I'd lighten things up by reminiscing about simpler times watching Monty Python and the Holy Grail. During Friday's session, as Brandon and I passed control to Gianni, I quipped "My sister was bitten by a moose"—a reference to the movie's absurd scrolling credits. That level…
The Power of Focus
I received an email this week from a Theo member and Mastermind student that stopped me in my tracks: "Hi Tony: I saw about 10 26-33's today, maybe it would be possible to only trade this setup? Your thoughts? Thanks" This trader is seeing it! He's recognizing that there's a repeatable pattern, and it truly…
Friday, September 5, 2025 - TheoLIVE Market Masters
Jobs data disappointed, bonds rallied, equities ripped, and under the surface, rotations kept moving. This was one of those mornings where “bad news is good news” took center stage—and the tape gave us plenty to trade if you were watching the right setups. Key Takeaways Jobs weakness fuels dovish bets August payrolls came…