Stocks Are Recovering From Yesterday’s “Hiccup” - Here’s What Comes Next
DeepSeek sent the big indexes anywhere from -1.5% to -3.1% “deeper” yesterday, but as we approach the closing bell today we’re now well into a recovery. At a time like this it’s important to remember that one day doesn’t break a trend. It doesn’t make one, either. In fact, there’s a lot to like in…
TheoTrade’s Tale of the Tape: Communications Are Speaking - Are You Listening?
Hello TheoTrader, As we enter the second full week of trading in 2025, the timeline may have shifted slightly, but the underlying story remains the same: we’re in a bull market. Sector performance rankings saw a notable shake-up last week. While much of the movement is bullish, there’s one minor concern—but only in the traditional…
I SPY with My Sector Bullseye…
We’re wrapping up an incredible week in the stock market! The S&P 500 cash index—and its ETF counterpart, SPY—hit fresh all-time highs, with futures indices not far behind. If you’ve been following the Sector Leader Bullseye newsletter closely these past few weeks, this probably doesn’t come as a surprise. But let’s be honest—accurately predicting market…
Trump's Going to Be Great for... China Stocks?
Donald Trump was sworn into office on Monday, kicking off his second term as the 47th President of the United States. There’s a lot of optimism from the business community at the moment, and a lot of the focus is, understandably, on what’s happening in the U.S. But over the past couple of weeks, I’ve…
How Markets Did on the First Day of Trump II
We’ve been through the “Trump rally,” the “Trump slump,” the “Trump bump,” and now… just Trump, as the first full trading day of the new administration comes to a close. Space stocks, which are in the Million-Dollar Challenge portfolio, did well, with big moves underway. Broadly speaking, many stocks responded well, with the big index…
TheoTrade’s Tale of the Tape: Now, About That Bullish Correction
Last week, when stocks were on the defensive, I pointed out the continued presence of positive money flows within the market. And as it turned out, Monday was the low of the week. Stocks rallied smartly and then ended up closing at their highest level in four weeks. So what’s all the fuss about? I’ll…
Everyone: Check Out My “Mania Math”
It never ceases to amaze me - how sentiment follows price. Stocks dropped six weeks’ worth of gains from their all-time highs down into what appears to be a low of significance this past Monday. This was also the longest decline that stocks have experienced going back to the October 2023 low. Ask yourself this…
Stocks Are Trying to Carve Out a Bottom - Here’s What I Think
The markets’ mood has soured - that much is obvious. There are worries about inflation - also obvious if you look at the bond market. That makes tomorrow morning’s CPI data release critical. It could make or break the action in the bond market but in stocks as well. Crude oil is at a critical…
TheoTrade’s Tale of the Tape: We’re In a Bullish Correction
Stocks went out near the lows of the week on Friday, and by now, most of you are well aware of my high regard for closing prices. In other words, when stocks close at the lows of the week, it’s a strong signal that bears were the victor of that five-day period. Over the past…
Bulls Need This One Sector to Come Alive in 2025
It’s been a choppy few weeks in the stock market. From now looking back to the election in November, we’re basically unchanged. This in turn is prompting talking heads to declare the “Trump bump” is over. I’ll level with you: My trading, and more importantly, my risk management, doesn’t change depending on who holds political…