How The Biggest Earnings Beat This Week Became a Death Trap
Hey trader, AppLovin beat earnings by 12%. The stock plunged almost 20%. Cisco beat by 27%. The stock collapsed. If you are holding tech positions through earnings season and relying on strong numbers to protect you, these results should terrify you. Beating estimates no longer matters when momentum has already turned against you. I warned…
The 11 Groups That Signal Every Market Top
Hey trader, Your portfolio bleeding when the S&P 500 is near all-time highs The index grinds higher, yet your holdings keep losing value. How is that even possible? Because you are watching the wrong number. The index is a lie. Twenty names prop it up while everything underneath collapses. By the time the index finally…
Why Friday's 152-Point Rally is a Fakeout
Hey trader, Friday's market move was one of the top three moves in market history. Not by percentage. By magnitude. By dollar for dollar move. At one point, the S&P 500 was up 152 points. This isn’t a real rally. How do I know? Just look at the number of stocks The Genesis COG has…
Hold the Line (Until You Can't)
Toto released Hold the Line in 1978. Jeff Porcaro on drums. Steve Lukather on guitar. The song that put them on the map before Africa ever existed. I picked that title Thursday morning for a reason. We are holding a line right now. The market sits at 6,900 on the S&P. One percent from all-time…
How I Made Money Shorting in a Bullish Tape
The S&P 500 ran 90 points today. Every sector lit up green. Tech, financials, cyclicals. All of them. I was short KNX the entire time. I got in at $60.50 and covered 25 shares into the morning weakness. The rest of my position sat there doing nothing while the index screamed higher. That stock did…
Morgan Stanley Just Warned You
Morgan Stanley's quant division released a warning last night that should terrify every dip buyer in America. Billions of dollars are piled into leveraged ETFs. These are not standard one-times-leverage products. They are two-times, three-times, four-times leveraged instruments. The positions are margined up five to ten times. When these products unwind, the unwinding itself becomes…
21 People Died Because It Moved Slow
On January 15th, 1919, a storage tank in Boston burst and released 2.3 million gallons of molasses. A 40-foot wave crushed buildings, buckled elevated railroad tracks, and killed 21 people. The victims never saw it coming because molasses moves slow. It looks harmless. It lulls you into thinking you have time. That is exactly what…
The Game That Broke the Market
Walmart hit a 98 RSI this morning. Not on the daily chart. On the hourly. I watched the stock run from 115 to 126 in two days. The biggest retailer in the world moving like a penny stock on no news whatsoever. Meanwhile, Equifax dropped another eight dollars. Auto Data Processing fell again. Microsoft kept…
Silver Broke. Gold Broke. You're Next.
The S&P opened down 60 points last night. By mid-morning it was up 35. No earnings surprise…No policy shift…No fundamental catalyst whatsoever… Just 0DTE options traders slamming buy orders at the opening bell and gamma squeezing every short who positioned over the weekend. This is a casino masquerading as a market, not price discovery. Speculative…
One Variable Changed His Life
Peter P sent me an email with one question. How do I make an adjustment? I showed him how to speed up one indicator from two perspectives. That was it. One tweak. One variable change. He turned that adjustment into $435,000 extra profit in one month. He has now made millions off of it. I…