Category: Man vs Machines with Jeff Bierman

Man vs Machines with Jeff Bierman

The Last Excuse for a Rate Cut Just Went Up in Smoke

Hey trader, Two months ago, I told Theo Trade members to buy energy stocks. Oil was sitting at $55 to $56 and nobody wanted it. I loaded up on Exxon, Chevron, and three other oil positions. I did not need a crystal ball. Oil is cyclical. It goes up, it goes down, it goes up,

Man vs Machines with Jeff Bierman

My Daughter Loved Duolingo. I Still Won't Buy the Stock.

Hey trader, My daughter used Duolingo for years. She learned Chinese. She learned Korean. She pulled straight A's in Spanish through the platform. I have nothing bad to say about the product. Now look at the stock. Look where it was and look where it is now. This is the poster child for what I

Man vs Machines with Jeff Bierman

Jamie Dimon Just Said What Nobody Wants to Hear

Hey trader, Jamie Dimon took JP Morgan from $20 a share to $300. He almost never sounds the alarm publicly. This week he stepped into the light. At JP Morgan's investor day on Monday, Dimon compared today's market to the years before the global financial crisis. His words were blunt. "The leverage i

Man vs Machines with Jeff Bierman

How This One Metric Could Have Saved a $630 Million Fund

Hey trader, When I ran my hedge fund, there was one number my prime broker asked about before anything else. Not my returns, not my positions, my Value at Risk. Value at Risk tells you how much money you could lose on your worst day. It combines the probability of a market event with the

Man vs Machines with Jeff Bierman

The Canary in the $1.8 Trillion Coal Mine

Hey trader, You know that saying, “Never put all your eggs in one basket?” Private credit firm Blue Owl is learning why. Responsible for managing $1.6 billion in debt into private enterprises, they funded data centers, AI startups, you name it. They were exactly the kind of firm that thrived when mo

Man vs Machines with Jeff Bierman

The One Skill That Separates You From the Machines

Hey trader, Years ago, I used to surf near Manhattan Beach, California. Right off Rosecrans and Pacific Coast Highway sat a small office belonging to John Bollinger. I never met him. But the indicator he created became the most popular technical tool in retail trading history. At ThinkorSwim, Don Ka

Man vs Machines with Jeff Bierman

The Stock I Called a Widow Maker Before It Collapsed

Hey trader, Brandon Chapman and Don Kaufman saw this one from a mile away. Carvana reported after the close on February 18th. The expected move was roughly $45. The stock hit a low of $271.03. That is nearly double the expected move, all to the downside. Brandon was leaning bearish ahead of the prin

Man vs Machines with Jeff Bierman

162 Fund Managers. Zero Bears. That Should Terrify You.

Hey trader, Take a look at the current Genesis COG scanner: Notice a pattern? The majority of signals are bearish, as they have been for weeks. Yet, no one seems to care what the algorithms are projecting. Take the Bank of America annual fund manager survey. They polled 162 managers, each with a min

Man vs Machines with Jeff Bierman

The $60,000 Trap Door That Takes Down Everything

Hey trader, This past weekend, Bitcoin super traders put the word out. If Bitcoin breaks $60,000, it creates an automatic algorithmic trigger to liquidate all positions worldwide. The liquidation sweeps far beyond crypto. Gold, silver, precious metals, and the entire stock market all get dragged int