You know all those price-based indicators everyone loves… Moving averages… RSI…MACD crossovers… Support and resistance... They’re all WORTHLESS right now. Only one actually matters, and here's why. The market isn't trading on price discovery anymore. It's trading on basket buying that props the inde
My neighbor runs several small businesses in Chicago. Good guy. Really good friend. We text all day long. Yesterday, he told me something terrifying. He's been talking to his friends who own small businesses: cleaning, plumbing, real estate… They're all saying the same thing: This is the last year t
I take my daughter to the dojo three nights a week. Monday, Tuesday, Thursday. Karate lessons. She's twelve now and getting serious about it. The sensei is a stud. Six foot four. Second degree black belt. Great guy. Really knows his stuff. Every month they give the kids a word to learn. A principle
Block reported earnings yesterday…and CRUSHED it: Fifty-four cents per share against a 25-cent estimate. The stock dropped 17%. You might think that's irrational. I'm telling you it's the most rational thing the market has done in months. Everyone celebrates the beat…The algorithms are reading somet
The Fed's quarterly interest payments just went vertical. Not rising steadily. Vertical. Logarithmic. The kind of exponential curve that appears right before systems break. Since 2008, their debt service has compounded at rates that would bankrupt any private company. But the Fed isn't a private com
Intel rallied four dollars in a single day last month... Every technical indicator screamed overbought: RSI hit 80 MACD extended Price stretched far above moving averages. So you shorted it...And the stock ripped another six dollars against you over the next week. You focused on momentum while ignor
The S P dropped 40 points this morning. Norwegian Cruise Lines cratered 13% despite beating earnings. Palantir got demolished. Uber broke its algorithmic channel. Even the dippers hesitated for the first time in months. Every technical indicator on the daily chart flashed red. RSI rolled over. MACD
When you turned on the radio as a kid, you had two dial settings. AM and FM. AM stands for amplitude modulation. It's a signal compression technique where electronic waves cycle between maximum and minimum boundaries. The wave expands to peak amplitude. Then it contracts to minimum. Then it expands
My wife came home from the doctor this week. Annual mammogram. Routine checkup. She had a benign form of breast cancer three years ago. Got treated. Got through it. Now she goes every year like clockwork. She walked in complaining about the bill. The copay. The deductible. The out-of-pocket costs th
