When One Kid in Chicago Crashed Global Silver
Don Kaufman here. Silver just did something that should make you pay attention. SLV traded 1.4 million option contracts by 1:30 pm. Six months ago, this thing was lucky to do 30,000 contracts all day. Now, let me tell you the silver story - because what's happening right now is no accident. The Meeting That…
3 Trades I’m Putting On Right Now
Look, I was on Schwab's Big 3 Show today with Rick running the charts. Three ideas. Three trades I'm putting on right now. And yeah, I'm not giving you the exact strikes and spreads here. You want the full trade structures? Watch the video. But I do want to walk you through the thinking because…
THE DISPERSION TRADE IS IMPLODING
Don Kaufman here. Markets were ripping higher this morning. Now we're selling off. VIX just hit 17. That whipsaw action? That's exactly what I've been warning about. I've been tracking the volatility structure every single day, and what I'm seeing right now should scare the hell out of you. We're at a breaking point for…
When Your Position Talks, Listen
Don Kaufman here. My volatility trade should be printing money right now. It's not. When your position talks to you like that, you better listen. I've got a volatility structure position on that should be humming along nicely with the S&P at all-time highs. Instead, volatility is sustaining itself and creeping higher. The position that…
My 13-year-old is my secret weapon for testing trading monitors
Don Kaufman here. I literally bought four different monitors on Amazon. Just one of each. Opened them up in my Arizona mountain house and let my kid loose on them. "This KTC thing absolutely smokes your old monitor, Dad." When a 13-year-old who plays Fortnite on a multi-monitor setup tells you a $97 monitor destroys…
Predicted this selloff 4 hours before it happened
Don Kafuman here. While everyone was celebrating fresh all-time highs Friday morning, I was warning about something very different in the TheoTrade Chat Room: "The upside potential could be another 20 points. The downside though, we could completely invert and lose 60." By 2 PM, Tesla was down 3%, Nvidia down 1%, Palantir crashed 7%,…
Record Tesla Deliveries Don't Matter
Don Kaufman here. Tesla just delivered record-high quarterly numbers this morning. The stock spiked, then completely reversed. And that reversal just proved why 90% of traders lose money. You think information gives you an edge. You think that if you could just get the Tesla delivery numbers before everyone else, you'd make a killing. Here's…
3 trades from the Big 3 (one's completely contrarian)
Don Kaufman here. Just wrapped up another appearance on Schwab's Big 3, and I've got to tell you - this was one of those sessions where the obvious plays and the smart plays were pointing in completely opposite directions. You know me. I love finding opportunity where everyone else sees disaster. The Government Shutdown Nobody…
My 35-Cent Bet on SPX Weakness
Don Kaufman here. I was staring at two butterflies this morning and the market wanted to charge me $1.15 for a call butterfly that I could get for 35 cents on the put side. Same damn trade. This is exactly why most traders lose money - they don't understand how skew is robbing them blind.…
When Markets Don't Trust Themselves
Don Kaufman here. I woke up this morning and the S&Ps were up 40 points. By the time I hopped on my live trading room session, they were already cut that in half. But here's what's got me perplexed - and this is the signal everyone's missing. The Market That Doesn't Trust Itself When you're…