TheoTrade’s Tale of the Tape: Summer is Coming – Relax – Bulls Are
It was a weekend full of worrying headlines, from escalations on the geopolitical front to negative developments on trade negotiations. But at some point, we need to ask ourselves, “Who is this periodic media hysteria serving?” Because it’s not helping you or anyone, make decisions in your portfolio. It’s definitely an art form to be…
My Drawdown Recovery Journey
No matter how good of a trader you are or become, drawdowns will always be an Achilles heel. After one of my best years trading in 2024, I came into 2025 flying high. To be clear, I don’t change how I trade whether I’m winning or whether I’m losing, but to say I got socked…
What a Bond Rally Would Do For Tech
You’re probably hearing a lot about bond vigilantes as of late, and for good reason. The federal government is broke, and with the latest budget bill, there are no signs that spending or deficits are coming down anytime soon. But there’s been some notable developments over the past week that leads me to believe the…
Tariffs Are on Pause, Bonds and Tech Are in Play
The markets - and the emerging “TACO trade - were jolted by headlines again. This time, the usually-obscure US Court of International Trade called a halt to many of Trump’s tariffs. Stocks surged on the news… then dropped to give back the gains… and then began to fight back into the green for the day.…
TheoTrade’s Tale of the Tape: Bears Try to Push Back
It’s the final week of May, and it’s a shortened holiday week. But don’t let that fool you - there’s no way you can afford to be tuned out with the slew of data, Fed minutes, and key earnings reports this week. Markets are already on the move this Tuesday, and last week, we saw…
Bonds or Tariffs - What’s the Worry?
You’ve probably heard the saying, “A bull market climbs a wall of worry.” And after President Trump’s announcement today that 50% tariffs on the European Union could go into effect on June 1, there’s yet another new reason to be concerned. But is obsessing over every emerging headline really healthy? Successful trading requires a level-head…
Forget Nursery Rhymes - Buy in May… And Stay
We’re getting ready to close the book on two straight sessions of (slight) declines on the indexes as the odds rise that the bulls will take a breather. And yet, overall, bullish signals keep flashing and volatility is relatively subdued, especially in comparison to where we were a few weeks ago. If a US debt…
TheoTrade’s Tale of the Tape: This Sector Says Where We Are
Stocks are off the recent highs to start the week, and as I surfed “FinTwit” over the weekend in between my charting sessions, I still saw a lot of negativity surrounding the state of markets. Are we overbought near-term? Sure. Does that mean that we’re automatically going lower? Absolutely not. I talk about time a…
You Can Listen to Tech, or Doom-and-Gloom - It’s Up to You
Stocks are less than 5% away from their all-time highs now, and the “Great Chase” is on. Institutions and large funds got caught up in the doom-and-gloom headlines, and have only now begun to realize what’s happening. But our Sector Bullseye analysis kept us on the right side of the tape. Analysis can be pretty…
Don’t Fight the Bull - Embrace It
I can’t blame investors for being skeptical at all. After a six-week stretch like the one we just came through, with its huge swings on the big indexes, the rise and fall… and rise… of critical sectors, and chaotic, near-total uncertainty from day to day, people are feeling punch-drunk. And so when stocks exploded off…