We Ripped! But will we Roll Over?
Upside Volatility--160 pt SPX move got smoked--I am all rallied out--back to 3500, yet again Will volatility stay down?--2 recent breeches of EM--Vol futures speak!--bonds are scary--stay on your game --FED--Jobs numbers How Wild was the week?--QQQ--XLF--IWM--EEM SPX Expected Move--last week-- 158.40 (expected move)--actual move-- 239.48--next week-- 91.54
A Not so Certain Market Future?
With the uncertainty in this marketplace, due to the election, Don urges us all to take a step back based on a few factors which he covers in today’s video. Listen to Don explain how the Monsters of Tech are in fact holding the marketplace together and what could happen if we start to see…
On the Eve of Volatility
Markets are on the eve of a major volatility event. Here's where risk is being priced in and what you need to watch this week. Get ready for fireworks. Trade small and don't get caught up in the volatility. It's ok to be on the sidelines during this especially if you're new.
When Will Market Horror Show End?
The binary event is upon us: --volatility is BID --vol skew has shifted --all smoke and mirrors or is a real move coming? --pullback may feel huge but come on... we are back to levels from a few weeks ago... Gravity Points are back! --unfinished business at 3211 --we head under 3211 we get UGLY…
Market Bears are Making a Comeback
A major breach of the expected move today across all the major markets with still 2 more days to go on the week. An over 2 standard deviation move with the biggest market caps still need to report earnings this week like AAPL, GOOGL, and AMZN. This was a great day to sit back and…
Risk Comes Roaring Back
A big move down tagging the lower expected move for the week on a Monday. We took this opportunity roll bearish duration positions. As risk comes back to the market here's what to expect and where the opportunities are...
If Everyone is Hedged Where is the Risk?
What are Bonds and Dollar saying? Decision time... hedge, hold or fold?--VVIX--SPX Open Interest-- any wild outside bets?--SKEW SPX Expected Move--last week-- 80.94 (expected move)--next week-- 78.40
Expected Move Says this is a High Probability
Market see choppy day as stimulus talks continue to whipsaw price action. Let's look at what's expected for the rest of the week. Things can still get very wild. Here's why…
Here Come the Sellers
Bears win the day as selling hits the market across the board. The SPX dropped to near it's expected move for the week. Here's how I did on the day…
What Do Markets Say about the Election?
Risk into the Friday Bell! Broken Brexit does not impact markets Massively UNCHED on the WEEK--pull back off the upper EM Retail Sales--AMZN drops on big sales Heavy Earnings Week Coming--TSLA, NFLX, INTC Reading the Vol SKEW--election risk growing? Getting a read on risk---VVIX--Dollar--Bonds SPX Expected Move--last week-- 71.91 (expected move)--next week-- 80.94