How to Profit from Inflation and FED Disarray
Market Update----back in the volatility channel--Volatility in serious backwardation--bonds display REAL FEAR--dollar bid--Oil backwrdation Forward Looking----Monday FED Meeting--NQ under 14k becomes a free for all--Financials could suffer largest loss Volatility Tactics----SELL premium--Ultima - more time, higher skew--hedge with inside spreads SPX Expected Move ----last week -- 107.37 (expected move)--next week-- 135.20
Is Bitcoin in a bear market rally? Don Kaufman shares his view on CoinDesk TV...
TheoTrade co-founder Don Kaufman shared his views on the crypto markets with CoinDesk TV. He explained that the decoupling of bitcoin from other major asset classes could've contributed to moving price action. "What I think we saw over the last couple of days ... this is like a quintessential bear market rally," Don said. Watch…
Will Tomorrow's CPI Spark a Volatility Rebound?
Even with the rippin' rally that took place today, there appears to be a slip in volume and there doesn't seem to a commitment to trade. What does this mean? With the CPI report looming ahead, the potential to rock the markets is a strong possibility in the coming days, tune in to tonight's video…
Don Kaufman On CoinDesk TV: Considerable downside risk in Bitcoin
TheoTrade co-founder Don Kaufman shared his insights into the crypto market with CoinDesk TV. The US dollar has become the new volatility index that traders should pay attention to, Don said. There’s considerable downside pressure in Bitcoin. “Can you withstand a $13,000 move higher of lower?” Don asks. See the video or read the transcript…
Don Kaufman In Business Insider: PEG measure is valuable as initial filter for finding value companies
Don Kaufman, co-founder of TheoTrade, shared his trading insight with the personal finance reporter at Insider for the story “The PEG ratio is one tool you can use to find undervalued stocks. Here’s how it works.” Don discussed the topic “What does the PEG ration tell you?” An excerpt: "P/E ratios vary so widely because…
Goldilocks Market Conditions Just Died
Goldilocks Markets are Dead! ---Oil a serious concern --Rates on the rise / bonds tank--Jobs number 467k... SELL IT--good is so very bad--VIX quiet until under /ES 4211 --Is Long is Wrong? Back to the Volatility Box----NQ high prob of dropping into heavy vol--if the bonds break lower--where's the bear SPX Expected Move ----last…
Crypto Provides an Ominous Outlook for the SP500
Facebook plummets after the closing bell! Yikes! We also saw a bear market rally today as we edged just north of the expected move which reeks of volatility in the marketplace. What does Crypto have to do with all this? Join Don in Tonight's video to find out..
Your Volatility Survival Guide
Volatility Update--GAME ON! We are still in backwardation-Trading VIX options-Dollar may be a great volatility indicator Critical Levels-SP500 critical levels - /ES 4211 - /ES 4500-Volatility Channel - aka Hurt Locker-Correlation Will YOU Fight the FED?-Long and wrong could bring unbearable risk-STOPs work! All too well in volatility-not a time to bottom fish (any 5…
FED Fear Comes To Fruition
The Fed made as much of a dovish hawkish statement as they could. Bottom line is the Fed does not have the market's back anymore. Expect extreme volatility to continue the rest of the week. Here's the key level to watch...
Are Markets Sending a Message to the FED?
Are we feeling the fear?-sectors-vol inversion-skew jumps-bonds gone bid-correlation sp100-spuz volume Magnitude of Moves-SPX 3 deviation -265pts-QQQ 3 deviation -28.32pts-Crypto Cracks FOMC (aka da FED)-crush markets to fight inflation?-markets are hooked on the juice-declining economic indicators-soften hawkish stance SPX Expected Move ----last week -- 85.74 (expected move)--next week-- 149.58