Earnings Announcements in Full Swing
Welcome to the crapshoot game of the earnings season. Many don't know that if you look at 1000s of earnings trades and try to sell premium the return is a whopping zero! However, if you place trades before earnings on the side of the trend this gives you a slight edge. Here's a few examples…
Premium Sellers Should Fear the Low Volatility
TheoTraders must be aware of when to be a buyer or a seller of option premium. In this weekend edition let's take a look at how you can do that. At TheoTrade we have done the hard work for you. Not only do we have the answer, but analysis behind that so you understand. Here…
Froth in the Markets and the Pepsi Challenge
Markets have surged 170 points since Brexit to new all time highs. Here is one scan I use to find contrarian set ups. One of the stocks this scan came up with was PEP. Let's review the trade and what to expect with earnings coming up.
Stocks Take An Awkward Pause
In the past few days stocks made new all time highs and today's awkward pause comes right before earnings season starts. TheoTraders must stay aware of the macro economic picture of the global economy. Tonight I want to highlight one of our TheoDark reports that showcase a major opportunity in Japan that we will be…
Relationships in the Market
There is divergence in the force... the market that is. Looking at the 3 major indexes - the SPX, RUT, and QQQ - the weakest index has become the strongest and the strongest the weakest. One thing that we have been harping on is historical volatility vs. implied volatility. Everybody wants to be premium sellers…
Historical Volatility vs. Implied Volatility
TheoTraders look for disparages between historical volatility and implied volatility to determine what kind of an edge the market is giving us. TheoTraders love nothing better than to sell premium. However, that's not what the market is giving us right now. The SPX implied volatility is telling us that it is more advantageous to be…
The Brexit, the brally, and the brutal reality
TheoTraders must zero in on where the risk is in the market. Let's look at a comparison chart of the bonds, gold, and stocks. This will help us determine whether or not risk is still on the table.
This is a Hallmark of Volatility
TheoTraders, today's move was a hallmark sign of volatility. The question is - when do you get short again? And that's why we get these explosive moves to the upside. Traders try to short these up moves all the way up. Remember, it's all about duration over direction. Here's how to handle the volatility...
Volatility is Here to Stay
A major volatility event has hit the market. This video will prepare TheoTraders for what to look for in the weeks ahead. First and foremost TheoTraders must contain their risk. This is not the time to take unnecessary risk. Second, we will look at some big trading opportunities with the explosion in volatility.
What to Expect with Brexit
It's important to determine which risk metrics that TheoTraders use in the next 2 days. Implied volatility in the SPX is rising as we speak ahead of the much anticipated British referendum. Here's what I'm expecting over the next 2 days and how to protect & profit during this pivotal time in the market.