Get Ready - employment report shows risk ahead
The indexes finished the day massively unchanged. However, Oil and Bonds continues to move lower ahead of the job report on Friday. All eyes on the job report as this seems to be the most important one to come out in a while. It's the last major economic report before the Fed decides a potential…
Are Rising Interest Rates Good for Anyone?
The stock indexes end the day slightly lower once again. As rates move higher all eyes will be on the jobs report on Friday to see if the report will affirm the expected rate hike next week or give the Fed an excuse to delay. For the SPX we look back at the expected move…
The Door is Open, Will the Bears Take the Bait?
After nearly 4 months of complacency a few definitive signs of volatility may truly be emerging. The Sp100 today opened with 95 decliners, first time we have seen this since early November. Moreover, the XLF sold off a bit today with bonds selling off as well. Lastly, we shall build a bullish spread in the…
Bull or Bear, this Market Shall Torment You in Every Move
Markets moved well within our expected range this past week, even though IPO mania and a Wednesday rally has buyers believing the markets are impervious to anything. Moving forward keep a close eye on your overall risks as bulls will attempt to buy in every dip and bears will look for a catalyst to spark…
Markets On the Brink of the Expected Move
All of the major indexes popped to all time highs today on the heels of a positive tone from the new administration. Bonds sharply lower sent financials higher. The brokerage firms rebounded today after being hit hard yesterday on the news of an all out discount commission war. In tonight's video let's revisit the expected…
Complacency Prevails on the Eve of a Risk Event
If you missed today's trading day you didn't miss much. Indexes moved sideways on very light volume. A complacent market will move at some point. Could tomorrow's State of the Union address be that catalyst? Let's take a look...
The Volatility Monster is Lurking
The major indexes ended the shortened week slightly off all time highs. Where is the volatility? That is the big question on every trader's mind. In this important weekend edition we will dissect the various sectors and the market in search of volatility and the opportunities they might present...
Strategy for Low Volatility Market
A very quiet sideways day with the FOMC minutes barely even to get any life out of the market. That sucking sound you hear is the volatility being sucked out of the market. Not only is volatility near all time lows, but this one of the longest stretches of volatility this low that we have…
Strategies for This Market - When Low Volatility Meets High Skew
All of the major indexes closed the week slightly off all time highs. The low volatility and high SKEW has drained the options market of many of the most widely used strategies. In this extended weekend video let's review what volatility and SKEW is, why it's important, and look at the limited options strategies that…
Risk on the Rise as Markets Hit Record Levels
You may or may not be tired of hearing this - new record highs across all of the major indexes were hit today. In tonight's video we will revisit the expected move for the week and look at what the market expects for the next 2 days. Please note in the video I erroneously mention…