I need to tell you something that's been keeping me up at night, and it's not the Iran situation everyone's freaking out about (though that's certainly not helping). We're in the middle of a financial crisis right now, and the Iran news is actually proving my point perfectly. While everyone's watchi
Last night I did something stupid. I sat down with a cup of coffee and tried to answer what should be a simple question: What would the S P 500 be trading at without all this monetary support? After an hour of scribbling numbers, cross-referencing academic papers, and building models that kept spitt
You know what's crazy? Everyone's celebrating Nvidia's monster earnings beat, but they're looking at the wrong numbers. Yeah, the stock's down 4.4% today, trading under $187 after hitting over $200 in after-hours yesterday. Even after crushing every single metric. The real story is buried on page 47
Nvidia reports earnings after the bell today, and everyone's focused on guidance numbers and data center spending. I'm focused on something else entirely. Last earnings call, Jensen Huang said there's "infinite demand" for AI chips and data centers. You know what that sounds like? Railroad executive
You know what's driving me crazy right now? Everyone's positioning for the exact wrong outcome with NVIDIA earnings tomorrow. I'm seeing all this chatter about "blow off top then pullback" - like we're due for some massive spike higher before the real correction begins. But here's what nobody's talk
I keep seeing the same pattern, and it's driving me nuts. Big banks publish their "best ideas" lists. Analysts upgrade stocks to "buy." The financial media runs headlines about "oversold opportunities." And retail investors pile in, thinking they're getting institutional-quality advice. But here's w
Your emails are going to be flooded for the next three months by every self-appointed financial expert in the world. And they're going to say that the AI trade is going to create the most lethal downturn for any number of sectors over the next 18 months. They're gonna tell you that you need to
You're getting slaughtered. While you're staring at RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands, and whatever exotic oscillator you found at 2am, institutions are eating your lunch using one tool: Volume Weighted Average Price. They're not smarter than you. They just have better information about where the real mone
You know what I love about Goldman Sachs? Their timing. They just called the bottom on software after we saw a trillion-dollar wipeout. Perfect. Absolutely perfect timing, guys. While Goldman's telling everyone the worst is over, I'm sitting here looking at the math and seeing something completely d
