Trump-Pelosi-Schumer Deal On Wednesday, the stock market rallied slightly lowering the possibility of the first 3% selloff of the year occurring this week. Those who described the selloff on Tuesday as devastating because it was the worst day since August 17th look silly because a normal day wiped h
Auto Sales Weak In Beige Book The Fed’s Beige Book report was released Wednesday. That’s where the Fed gives its update on how it sees the economy now and where it might be going in the future. The key term was that there is modest to moderate growth which Steve Liesman says means 2% growth.
Only 4.9% YoY Earnings Growth Expected In Q3 The FactSet weekly earnings presentations resumed this week. As you can see from the chart below, the finalized metrics from the Q2 earnings season show there was a negative bias to every type of report which meant even firms that beat estimates fell. Thi
The stock market had a minor move lower on Tuesday in the first day back from the Labor Day weekend. This is the start of the weakest month of the year. For some reason, the North Korean threat is now being considered an issue again even though the market ignored the missile launch by trading
In previous articles, we’ve discussed how emerging markets are outperforming America after several years of underperformance. Emerging markets usually have a lower PE multiple than America and developed markets because their capital markets aren’t as trusted and their political systems are more unce
Debt Ceiling Resolved Soon? Goldman Sachs lowered its odds of a government shutdown, caused by the debt ceiling not being raised, from 50% to 35%. These numbers are somewhat arbitrary because there’s no way of knowing the precise odds of a shutdown. This situation is like when analysts come up with
Great Week For Stocks The main reason investors have been cautious heading into this week was because of the potential for a North Korean flare up. It turned out that the market decided to ignore the North Korean risk as the last week before Labor Day, when most people go on vacation, was fantastic.
The stock market ended the month of August positive making it the 10th straight month the S P 500 was up on a total return basis. In the past two days, it seemed like someone wanted the market to be up for the month as it rallied just enough to achieve that goal. The last North
Are Millennials Hurting? One of the biggest worries some people for the stock market is that baby boomers retiring will take money out of the stock market causing valuations to fall from their current lofty heights. Obviously, the next generation will put money into stocks eventually, but in the nex
We are in a new world this year in terms of the economic recovery. This year we’ve seen earnings beating the estimates from before the bar was lowered a few weeks before the reports. For the past few years we saw estimates lowered and the lowered estimates beaten. It was a game of misdirection as
