Category: Man vs Machines with Jeff Bierman

Man vs Machines with Jeff Bierman

Lies, More Lies, and This Morning's Data

The market rallied 87 points this morning on inflation data. Consumer prices supposedly slowed to 2.7%. Jobless claims came in light. Wall Street grabbed the numbers and ran. I watched from Chicago as the algorithms locked into a feedback loop. Micron beat earnings. The macro data looked dovish. Two

Man vs Machines with Jeff Bierman

Slip and Slide: The Childhood Game That Explains January's Crash

My mom bought me and my brother a Slip and Slide when we were kids in Beverly Hills. We had a pool in the backyard. But when the neighborhood kids came over, we all played Slip and Slide instead. You remember the game. Fill up that crappy plastic rollout thing with a hose. Dive onto

Man vs Machines with Jeff Bierman

The Filing Nobody Noticed Could Send This Stock to $70

PayPal filed to become a bank last night. Not a partnership with a bank…Not a banking feature…An actual industrial bank serving small businesses. The stock moved one dollar. I expected it to move ten. If this chart weren't so beaten down from years of decline, money managers would be all over this f

Man vs Machines with Jeff Bierman

The AI Lease Nobody Could Pay

Fermi (FRMI) got absolutely slaughtered last week. The stock cratered because the company had hundreds of millions of dollars in land leases for AI data centers. They tried to break out of those leases. The AI tenants couldn't pay. Fermi entered into a non-binding letter of intent for Project Matado

Man vs Machines with Jeff Bierman

The Day After

The Fed cut rates Wednesday afternoon. The market popped. Then it dropped. Then it settled flat. I watched it happen from my office in Chicago while snow piled up outside. One degree Saturday night. Try living that. None of it mattered. Not the cut. Not the pop. Not Powell's press conference. The on

Man vs Machines with Jeff Bierman

Alpha Decay Will Kill Your Strategy (Even If It Works Today)

The term comes from nuclear physics. An unstable atomic nucleus expels particles to become more stable. Each emission weakens the original structure until it transforms completely. The same process is destroying your portfolio right now. Alpha decay. You've never heard of it because nobody talks abo

Man vs Machines with Jeff Bierman

Why Tomorrow Matters More Than Today

The Fed announces their rate decision at 2pm EST today. Every trader I know is glued to their screen waiting. I covered one Walmart short for $25 profit this morning. That's my entire day. I called my brother-in-law who trades options aggressively. He's sitting out too. I won't touch anything else u

Man vs Machines with Jeff Bierman

Why a Flat MACD is Terrifying

Twelve out of thirteen days. Up. Up. Up. That's not a free market. That's machine-driven manipulation. The Martingale probability of that happening naturally is almost zero. But in a market controlled by algorithms programmed to buy every single dip it becomes a foregone conclusion. Today, I'm showi

Man vs Machines with Jeff Bierman

The "Garbage" Stock That Crushed NVIDIA

I pulled up the numbers this weekend. Dollar Tree versus Nvidia. Year-to-date performance. Dollar Tree: 82%. Nvidia: 72%. The discount retailer nobody talks about outperformed the AI giant everyone owns. This matters because January 1st changes EVERYTHING. Money managers wipe the slate clean. The st