Category: Don's Trading Desk

Don's Trading Desk

3 Plays To Take Today

I Just wrapped up another Schwab TV appearance, and I had to break some hearts today. Everyone's losing their minds over Netflix and this Warner Bros merger saga. Here's what I told them - push the noise aside and look at what the chart's actually saying. Sometimes the obvious contrarian play sittin

Don's Trading Desk

The Real Bubble Isn't Where You Think It Is

I don't look at bubbles from the top down. I look at them from the bottom up. It's all the pieces of crap that got pulled higher. While everyone's losing their minds over Oracle cratering 40% from its September peaks, they're missing where the real carnage lives. Sure, AI stocks are finally getting

Don's Trading Desk

Why LEAPs Are a One-Way Ticket to Getting Screwed

Look, you wanna really get me going? Start talking about LEAPs. Long-term equity anticipation securities. Don't even get me started on LEAPs. I hate LEAPs. Actually, scratch that - I'm already started, so let's do this. Anybody that actually uses LEAPs doesn't know what the beep they're even doing i

Don's Trading Desk

Most Traders Think This Is Real Selling. I Know Better.

Look, I'm gonna tell you something that might save you a fortune in the coming weeks. All this hand-wringing about Friday's selloff, all the panic about AI rotating into financials - you haven't seen real selling yet. You know how I know? Because I lived through this exact playbook 25 years ago, and

Don's Trading Desk

Surviving Markets That Want You Dead

Don Kaufman here. The island tried to kill me three times before lunch today. First, driving back from the house, I got stuck behind a truck dropping crap all over the road. Then a deer decided to commit suicide by jumping in front of my car. Finally, the first iguana I've seen since arriving appear

Don's Trading Desk

The Real Bubble Isn't Tech

You actually have single stock risk in owning the spiders. That's not supposed to happen. Goes against everything you've been told about diversification, but here's the math that'll mess with your head. Google and NVIDIA combined? $8 trillion in market cap. Add them up and Google's basically a $4 tr

Don's Trading Desk

Somebody Dropped Serious Money on Chaos This Morning

It’s Fed day. And I hope you’ll join me and Garrett Baldwin from 2PM-4PM EST for our LIVE Fed coverage. Everyone is welcome, members and non-members. CLICK HERE to add the event to your calendar. You can also CLICK HERE to join the event at 2PM. But let me give you a preview of what

Don's Trading Desk

Why I Closed My 30% Winner Early

Today reminded me why trading keeps you humble. I closed my Starbucks put spread for a 30% gain, and this morning everyone's telling me I'm an idiot. "You should have waited, Don. Look, it's down another 25 cents. You could have had 55% instead of 30%." Yeah, well, I didn't. And neither did you.

Don's Trading Desk

Fed Cuts Won't Save You (Bond Vigilantes Are Back)

Don Kaufman here. Everyone's betting on rate cuts saving the day. Fed cuts mean cheaper borrowing, right? I'm looking at the actual futures right now – the ZQ Fed funds where people bet real money – and they're telling a completely different story. December Fed funds futures are pricing 3.7325%. Cur