Why I Closed My 30% Winner Early
Today reminded me why trading keeps you humble. I closed my Starbucks put spread for a 30% gain, and this morning everyone's telling me I'm an idiot. "You should have waited, Don. Look, it's down another 25 cents. You could have had 55% instead of 30%." Yeah, well, I didn't. And neither did you.…
Fed Cuts Won't Save You (Bond Vigilantes Are Back)
Don Kaufman here. Everyone's betting on rate cuts saving the day. Fed cuts mean cheaper borrowing, right? I'm looking at the actual futures right now – the ZQ Fed funds where people bet real money – and they're telling a completely different story. December Fed funds futures are pricing 3.7325%. Current rate's 3.8775%. That's…
Bitcoin's "No Shorts" Problem Is About to Crush Tech Stocks
Don Kaufman here. I just shot my weekend market video, and one insight jumped out that could blindside tech traders next week. I identified a critical flaw in Bitcoin's current structure that could trigger the next major tech selloff - and most traders have no idea it's coming. One of the biggest issues in crypto…
3 New Trade Ideas For You
Don Kaufman here. I was on Trading 360 this morning, and honestly, this market feels "slop tastic" right now. Nothing matters - not financials, not energy, not retail. Nothing matters but tech. And we're literally starting to see rotations within the tech sector itself. Everyone's asking about a Santa rally into year-end. Here's what I…
You Can Fit Five Walmarts Into One Apple
Don Kaufman here. I've been up since way too early this morning, clearly over-caffeinated, and I just spent an hour doing math that's going to keep me awake for the next week. All of healthcare equals one chip company. Every bank and oil company combined is smaller than Nvidia. You can fit five Walmart's, into…
They're About To Rope You In Again
Don Kaufman here. I'm watching people celebrate right now and it's making me absolutely sick. You know what that Thanksgiving rally was? It wasn't the market getting healthy. It was the most violent move I've seen in 15 years designed to do one thing - get dumb a**es back in the market right before they…
My Thanksgiving Escape Plan Is Already In Motion
Don Kaufman here. Happy Thanksgiving from someone who's timed family visits better than most option spreads. Let me paint you the picture: My wife's family flies in December 4th. My parents arrive December 5th. I fly out December 5th afternoon. There's less than a 24-hour crossover period, and I've timed this very effectively. I can…
3 New Trade Ideas For You
Don Kaufman here. I had a great time on Schwab TV this morning breaking down what's really happening in this market. Everyone's asking: Is AI a bubble? Here's what I told them - we're in the latter innings, and it's all about rotation now. Google versus Nvidia. That's it. That's all that's really left driving…
Google Just Pulled Off the Greatest Market Cap Heist in History
Don Kaufman here. First things first - I'm going live at 2 PM Eastern today to break down exactly how to trade this insane volatility we're seeing. The market's gone completely schizophrenic, and if you're not positioned correctly, you're going to get run over. Join me in 15 minutes. Now, about Google gaining a trillion…
Why I Think Bitcoin Is the Biggest Pile of Crap Ever
Don Kaufman here. I think Bitcoin is the biggest pile of crap ever, and it has nothing to do with the technology. It's because you can see what everyone’s doing on it. And that p****s me off to no end. As a trader, do you want full transparency? It's like playing a game of cards…