Retail Is Running Scared Into Two Stocks
Don Kaufman here. Holy crap, I've never seen anything like this. We're sitting at all-time highs - literally a day or two removed from them - and retail is acting like it's the end of the world. The liquidity concentration has never been more extreme, and it's getting worse by the day. The Numbers Don't…
3 New Trade Ideas
Don Kaufman here. This morning on Schwab's Big 3 Show, I warned about something most traders are missing. Stocks hitting all-time highs while economic weakness builds underneath. "Bearish feel out there in the marketplace," I said - but these names keep climbing anyway. Amazon just gained $200 billion in market cap off a $38 billion…
Why I Celebrate When Markets Crash
Don Kaufman here. While everyone else was losing their minds during the April 2025 crash, I was placing my biggest trade of the year. Not because I'm reckless - because I know something most traders don't: chaos is where the real money gets made. Let me be clear about something: I haven't taken one losing…
My OpenAI Clock Theory
Don Kaufman here. You know what nobody's talking about with this morning's $38 billion Amazon-OpenAI deal? It's not about the deal itself - it's about the desperation behind it. Sam Altman is writing checks his company can't afford, and he's running out of time to find the money. That money has to come from one…
I OWN You, MSFT
Don Kaufman here. I need to tell you about this Microsoft butterfly that just closed for 297%. Earlier this week I put on the trade at 63 cents. This morning, it was up over 100%. You know what everyone was saying? "Take the money and run, Don. Lock in your gains." Screw that. You want…
How I Just Turned 64 Cents Into 203% Profits Overnight
Don Kaufman here. Yesterday at 3 PM, I placed a single options trade on Google earnings. Cost: 64 cents per contract. This morning: 203% profits. Here's exactly how it happened - the precise strikes, the mathematical reasoning, and why tonight's Amazon and Apple earnings could deliver the same systematic profits. The Exact Google Setup That…
3 Trades I Slapped On Today
Don Kaufman here. This morning on Schwab's Big 3 Show, I told you volatility was coming. Powell just proved me right. "Not a foregone conclusion. Far from it," he said about December rate cuts. The Dow reversed 200 points in minutes. Markets went from euphoria to panic in real time. But I saw this setup…
The Market's Dangerous AI Delusion
Don Kaufman here. The entire marketplace is now based around one company that isn't even technically for-profit yet. Microsoft gaps up 3% on partnership news. PayPal rallies on collaboration announcements. Oracle mortgages its entire corporate existence building infrastructure. Every major tech move revolves around developments from one entity. And that entity literally doesn't exist as…
When $3 Trillion Gets It Wrong
Don Kaufman here. And welcome to what might be the most expensive lesson in market psychology you'll see this week. I just closed out Christmas tree spreads for over 50% gains in less than a month. You'd think I'd be celebrating, right? Instead, I'm getting the hell out. Why? Because those trades should have made…
Why I Sleep Worse When Markets Are Calm
Don Kaufman here. I don't sleep well at night when the S&Ps are at or near highs and volatility refuses to back off. Most traders lose sleep when markets are selling off hard. That makes sense - red everywhere, portfolios bleeding, margin calls incoming. But here's what separates experienced traders from the crowd: I get…