I Was Dead Wrong on Tesla's Direction and Still Made Money – Here's How
Most traders think being wrong means losing money. That's their first mistake. The other day, I completely whiffed Tesla's direction. Dead wrong. But I still walked away limiting my loss to less than 50% of the capital at risk. That's not luck, that's structure. And it's exactly what separates traders who survive from those who…
Crude Oil Is Telling Us Something Important Right Now
We’re watching crude oil carve out a base, and it’s not subtle. After testing key levels around $68 multiple times and bouncing with conviction, the setup is finally turning bullish for real. To be clear, I’m not seeing explosive upside yet, but the technicals suggest a slow and steady climb, with a move toward $78…
How Earnings Volatility Comes Back to Fair Price
Earnings season is about finding structure in what looks like chaos. Each report triggers volatility, but the aftermath often follows a predictable rhythm: a move, a reaction, and a reversion to balance. That balance is anchored by “fair price”—typically the midpoint between recent highs and lows. When price trades above and below that level…
Hunting Real AI Value Amid the AI Hype
The AI conversation certainly isn’t new, but the market’s response to it is evolving. We’ve seen months of momentum behind the names that dominate the narrative: Nvidia (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), Palantir (PLTR), and the like. But now it’s not just about who builds the biggest model, it’s about who supports the infrastructure, who quietly enables…
How AI Momentum Is Pushing Rotation
I want to walk you through the concept of “spinning the staff,” a visual I like to use when talking about market channels and sector rotation. Think of a martial artist spinning a long wooden staff: the energy isn’t just at the ends—it’s in the rotation, the center, the rhythm. That same dynamic applies to…
From Oversold to Opportunity: What Happened Today Was Incredible
You know, folks, every once in a while we hit a session where everything just clicks — where the tools you rely on, the setups you watch, and the strategy you've honed over years all come together in one clean, deliberate flow. That’s exactly what Monday was. If you're a monkey bar trader — or…
The Acid Test: Finding Stocks Built for Storms, Not Just Sunshine
Look, anyone can look good in a bull market. Everyone's a genius when stocks are green, the headlines are glowing, and the Fed’s not poking the bear. But what happens when the wind shifts? What happens when demand stalls, rates stay sticky, and cash isn’t flying in the door? That’s where the real investors step…
The Best Way to Stack the Odds in Your Favor in This Market
Tonight we’re going to look at how to use a different kind of tool to target the kinds of opportunities this weird, choppy market is throwing our way. After all, today we got 30 minutes of selling followed by six hours of almost continuous melt-up on the back of a handful of stocks. We’re going…
Trading Isn’t About Being Right — It’s About Being Ready
When I trade, I’m not just clicking buttons. I’m listening to the market breathe, watching it twitch, testing its reflexes. There’s a rhythm to it, a pulse you get attuned to when you’ve been doing this long enough. And for me, it always starts with context — the big picture. If you don’t understand where…
Why Energy is Paying MORE Than Bonds Right Now (+ my targets)
Hey there, Blake here. I do have favorite numbers. If you've been in the main room with me, you know I talk about this ad nauseum... 68, 78, 68, 78, 68, 78 for crude. And guess what just happened? Crude's prices have bounced right back into that 68 range. Here's what nobody's talking…