Are Markets Approaching a Breaking Point?

The economic blows keep coming--

--earnings are brutal, guidance pulled

--20% unemployment min with another 4.4 mill jobless claims

--PMI crashes around the world

--6.4% of mortgages in forbearance, 764 billion unpaid principal

--Durable goods -14.4% --Google slashes marketing budget 50%

--and the Nasdaq is only down -1% YTD!

Here comes the FED meeting--

--expect hints towards the fed next bout of stimulus -

-FEDs got nothing but rhetoric

--will markets turn on the FED?

Putting your capital to work--

--Do you buy now?

--correlations are high

--private equity is throwing capital at distressed firms

--are markets in denial or immune because of backstops?

SPX Expected Move

--last week-- 111.00 (expected)

--actual move-- 37.82

--next week-- 85.67 (expected)

--11 out of the last 15 weeks have seen moves OUTSIDE the EM

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