XLF Volatility Signals Fears
XLF Volatility Signals Fears XLF volatility signals fear is at an extreme. The implied volatility is telling anyone looking to stay away from the long side of this market. It is also telling us is that no longer risk is here, but here to stay. The XLF IV% is over 30% for the foreseeable future.…
Stock Market Divergences
Stock Market Divergences Stock market divergence is taking center stage with the Nasdaq still outperforming the RUT and S&P by a wide margin. Eventually the indexes will have to get back in alignment before the bear market is over. Let's also take a look at the high volatility in the XLF. In tonight's video you'll…
Commodities Go Up
Commodities Go Up Commodities go up today with the dollar imploding. What you need to know about gold, oil, bonds, and stocks going into Friday.
Stock Market Levels
Stock Market Levels Stock market levels are important to keep on your screen. We have been pointing out the significance of the 1871 level in the S&P for quite some time. Today the sharp sell off stopped at the 1871 level and rallied. The financial stocks represented by the XLF sold off to new lows…
Stock Sell Off
Stock Sell Off As predicted the selling the broader market resumed today with the Bond markets exploding to the upside. Fear is in the air but the volatility index is still not reacting to what has amounted to heavy selling across all sectors and the financials seeing a nearly 3% decline.
GOOGL Earnings
GOOGL Earnings GOOGL earnings makes Google or Alphabet, Inc is the new 800lb gorilla. The largest company by market cap! Can GOOGL lead the markets higher? We will soon see. The risks in this market is vast. Let's go through them one by one tonight.
Selling Premium Weekly Options
Selling Premium Weekly Options Selling Premium in Weekly Options has been what's out there. The SPX last week stayed within the expected move. Ideal for premium sellers. So what to expect next week? I've been watching the SKEW which has dropped off significantly. I'm interpreting this as traders are reloading for the next down move.…
Treasury Notes
Treasury Notes Treasury notes is where a lot of the flight to safety money goes. We will continue to keep an eye on where institutional investors are going to put their money to work. So far bonds are holding strong. Also, tonight we will take a look at a lot of stocks with earnings.
FOMC Announcement Sparks Selloff
FOMC Sparks Selloff The FOMC announcement sparks a sell off in stocks today. The FOMC announcement shows a 180 in policy from only 6 weeks ago when they raised rates for the first time in 9 years. The sell off in stocks led to another spike in volatility. The Fed indicates a slow down in…
Will the Lows Hold
Will the Lows Hold? What are the odds the SPX lows hold? We can use the chain to determine what the probability a strike price will be in the money by expiration. That will tell us the probability of the lows being tested or broken. There's a lot of news coming out in the next…