Volatility of Volatility
Volatility of Volatility Looking at volatility of volatility is one way to look under hood of the market to determine what is actually happening. The product symbol is VVIX and what is conveys is the volatility on option prices. By looking at the VVIX we can see that fear is coming back into the market…
Massive Market Divergence
Massive Market Divergence Massive market divergence in today's market action. We saw the FANG stocks - FB, AMZN, NFLX, and GOOGL get clobbered while the rest of the market was relatively stable. Keep in mind these are the 4 stocks that led the market higher. If these stocks aren't leading the way which stocks are…
Short the SPY ETF
Short the SPY ETF You can view your short positions as being short the SPY ETF. Let's review the positions that are on and what to expect next week. There is one big news announcement that is keeping the expected move juiced up in the SPX. That is the ECB announcement as central banks around…
Profit Taking Friday?
Profit Taking Friday Will there be profit taking on Friday? Anything can happen with the unemployment report in the morning, but let's dive into where we are in these markets. In 15 trading day the S&P is up 10% and has come into an important resistance level. You would expect bulls may find this a…
SPX Expected Move
SPX Expected Move The SPX expected move is telling us exactly what the market is doing - nothing. The weekly options for the SPX is telling us that the market is waiting for the unemployment numbers that will be released Friday morning. Let's review what to expect when the market expects nothing.
Stock Market Recovery
Stock Market Recovery Stock market breakout and tonight we turn our attention to how much of can the stock market recover. Bonds broke down and the trend line. This now means real money is flowing from Bonds into stocks. However, it is difficult to make a case for chasing stocks here. There has been a…
Low Trading Volume
Low Trading Volume The stock market is marred by low trading volume across the board whether we look at futures or individual stocks. This is risky for the market because the market will move on any news. If you're into patterns the bond market is has a bearish wedge pattern setting up. Conversely the XLF,…
SPX Weekly Options
SPX Weekly Options SPX Weekly Options now have 2 weekly options per week. Yes I know it's confusing. There is now a mid week SPX expiration to go along with the end of week expiration. They did this to match up the SPX with the volatility futures. Let's take a look at the probabilities in…
Stock Market Sectors Performance
Stock Market Sectors Performance How are the difference stock market sectors performing with the SPX rising to its highest level since the first week of the year? The SPX is in a make or break area. This level has failed twice already and now the SPX could either make it's way to 2000 or fail…
Oil Leads Market Higher
Oil Leads Market Higher Oil leads the market higher today after the oil report comes out. The market reversal blew through a key level in the S&P at 1911. The next level to watch is 1934. If the S&P can break through that then I would expect 2000 to be in play. Keep this in…